Who will win the Kentucky Derby, according to experts

Who will win the Kentucky Derby, according to experts

May 2, 2024

Detail view as a jockey rides in the Old Forester Bourbon Turf Classic prior to the 149th running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 6, 2023 in Louisville, KY.

Joe Robbins/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images


By now you’ve probably got your big hat ready and your mint julep nearby. The only thing left to do before the Kentucky Derby starts this weekend is to pick a winner. To help prepare you, we asked the experts at SportsLine to share their favorites for this year’s race. 

Keep reading to find out how to place your bets, which horses SportsLine experts pick to win the 2024 Kentucky Derby, and how to watch today’s race. 

Note: CBS Essentials, CBS, Paramount+ and SportsLine are all subsidiaries of Paramount. 


When is the Kentucky Derby 2024?

The 2024 Kentucky Derby will be run on Saturday, May 4, 2024. Live TV coverage begins at 2:30 p.m. ET (11:30 a.m. PT) on NBC and USA Network. The event will stream on Peacock and Sling TV.


Who is predicted to win the Kentucky Derby?

Want some help placing your bets on the Derby this year? The experts at SportsLine shared their picks with us for potential Kentucky Derby winners.

Michelle Yu‘s pick to win: 2 Sierra Leone (3-1)

Yu boasts a long history of Derby success and has called the horse who has crossed the finish line first two of the last three years.

“You have to either like Fierceness or Sierra Leone, and I prefer the latter. This galloper will be happy to get the added ground, and there should be enough early pace for him. I am a little concerned about his rally-from-the-clouds running style since recent Derby winners have close to the pace, but he has the ability to overcome that.”

Jody Demling‘s pick to win: 2 Sierra Leone (3-1)

Demling hit 10 of the last 15 Oaks-Derby doubles.

“The son of Gun Runner has been my top pick for a few months and I am not moving him down. Looked really good in the Blue Grass Stakes; he has trained well at Churchill and I believe when they turn for home he will be rolling down the center of the track — headed to the winners’ circle.”

Bob Weir‘s pick to win: 11 Forever Young (10-1)

Weir has had multiple five-figure days at the track and is a member of the Beyer figure-making team.

“Forever Young is 5-for-5 and will try to pull off the Saudi-UAE-Kentucky Derby triple. He’s versatile and might be able to lay closer than some expect in this spot. The estimated figures for his 3-year-old races are right in line with the top 3-year-old figures among the American horses, except for Fierceness. There is no reason to believe a horse coming from Dubai can’t win this race, and he may be the best UAE Derby shipper to attempt this. He looks live and will be interesting at double-digit odds.”


What do experts base their Kentucky Derby picks on?

The horse racing experts at SportsLine are fixtures in the industry, writing, talking about and studying horse racing for years. SportsLine’s horse racing experts have confidence in predicting exactas, trifectas and superfectas, and sharing their picks to win the 2024 Kentucky Derby. 


Who won the 2023 Kentucky Derby?

American Thoroughbred Mage, ridden by jockey Javier Castellano, won the 2023 Kentucky Derby — the 149th running of the race. 


How to watch the 2024 Kentucky Derby

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Jockey Javier Castellano celebrates in the winner’s circle after ridding Mage #8 to win the 149th running of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs on May 6, 2023 in Louisville, KY.

Rob Carr/Getty Images


The 2024 Kentucky Derby will air on NBC and USA Network, and stream on Peacock as well as on the live TV streaming platforms featured below. Post time for the 150th running of the Kentucky Derby is 6:57 p.m. ET (3:45 p.m. PT).

  • Derby coverage starting at 12 p.m. ET, USA Network/Peacock
  • Derby coverage starting at 2:30 p.m. ET, NBC/Peacock

How to watch Kentucky Derby without cable

If you’ve given up your cable subscription, or your cable provider doesn’t include NBC and USA Network, you can subscribe to one of the streaming or live TV platforms featured below.

Stream the Kentucky Derby live with Peacock

Stream the Kentucky Derby live with Peacock, which offers its subscribers live streaming access to top-tier events airing on NBC like the Derby, 2024 Summer Olympic events and Sunday Night Football games next season.

Watch Big Ten football, Premier League soccer and WWE wrestling (including formerly PPV-only events such as WrestleMania), or tap into the streamer’s 80,000 hours worth of recorded content, including hit movies and TV series such as “The Office” and “Parks and Recreation.” 

Peacock Premium is regularly $6 per month, or $60 per year.


Sling TV: The most cost-effective way to stream sports in 2024

If you don’t have cable TV that includes NBC and USA, one of the most cost-effective ways to stream the Kentucky Derby this year is through a subscription to Sling TV. The streamer offers access to your local network affiliate’s live feed (excluding CBS) and also includes NFL Network and ESPN with its Blue tier plan, or level up your coverage to include TNT, TBS and more with the Orange + Blue tier plan (recommended).

The Orange + Blue plan normally costs $60 per month, but the streamer is offering $25 off the first month of any pricing tier, making your first month of the Orange + Blue plan $35.

Note: Because Sling TV doesn’t offer CBS, you won’t be able to watch all network-aired sporting events here. If you want one platform to watch most live games and events, we suggest a subscription to Hulu + Live TV.

Top features of Sling TV Orange + Blue tier:

  • There are 46 channels to watch in total, including ESPN, TNT and TBS and your local NBC, ABC and Fox affiliates (where available). 
  • You get access to many local NFL games and nationally broadcast games next season at the lowest price.
  • All subscription tiers include 50 hours of cloud-based DVR storage.

Watch the Kentucky Derby free with Fubo

If you’re new to streaming sports, you should know about Fubo. Fubo is a sports-centric streaming service that offers access to the 2024 Kentucky Derby, plus your local TV affiliates, hundreds of cable TV channels and 1,000 hours of cloud DVR storage. Another great reason to love Fubo is its lookback feature, which lets you watch sporting events up to 72 hours after they air live. 

Start watching the Derby on Fubo and also get access to network-aired NFL, NBA and MLB games by starting a seven-day free trial of Fubo. You can begin watching immediately on your TV, phone, tablet or computer. Fubo starts at $80/month for the Pro tier, which includes over 190 channels.

What you’ll get with Fubo Pro Tier:

  • There are no contracts with Fubo — you can cancel at any time.
  • The Pro tier includes over 190 channels, including NFL Network. 
  • Fubo includes all the channels you’ll need to watch college and pro football, including CBS.
  • In addition to horse racing, Fubo offers MLB, NBA, NHL, MLS and international soccer games. 
  • All Fubo tiers come with 1,000 hours of cloud-based DVR recording.
  • Stream on your TV, phone and mobile devices.

Hulu + Live TV/ESPN+ bundle: Watch the Kentucky Derby live for free

You can watch the Derby live with the Hulu + Live TV/ESPN+ bundle. The bundle features 95 channels, including ESPN, NBC and USA, and includes ESPN+, so you’ll be able to watch more than just today’s horse race. Unlimited DVR storage is also included. Watch the Kentucky Derby, plus the NBA Playoffs and NFL football next season with Hulu + Live TV/ESPN+ bundle.

Hulu + Live TV comes bundled with ESPN+ and Disney+. It’s priced at $77 after a three-day free trial.


Watch the Kentucky Derby live with a digital HDTV antenna

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Amazon


You can also watch the Kentucky Derby airing on ABC on TV with an affordable indoor antenna, which pulls in local over-the-air HDTV channels such as CBS, NBC, ABC, Fox, PBS, Univision and more. Here’s the kicker: There’s no monthly charge.

For anyone living in a partially blocked-off area (those near mountains or first-floor apartments), a digital TV antenna may not pick up a good signal — or any signal at all. But for many homes, a digital TV antenna provides a seriously inexpensive way to watch the Derby without paying a cable company. Indoor TV antennas can also provide some much-needed TV backup if a storm knocks out your cable.

This amplified digital antenna with a 50-mile range can receive hundreds of HDTV channels, including ABC, CBS, NBC, PBS, Fox and Univision and can filter out cellular and FM signals. It delivers a high-quality picture in 1080p HDTV and top-tier sound. It comes with an 10-foot digital coax cable.