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The Champions League quarterfinals continue on Wednesday afternoon and, oh boy, do we have a scintillating tilt in Germany.
Let’s break down the Arsenal vs. Bayern Munich matchup and make a pick.
Arsenal | Bayern | Draw | Total |
---|---|---|---|
+175 | +150 | +240 | o2.5 (-130)| u2.5 (+106) |
Things have quickly gone south for Arsenal. At this time last week, Arsenal was neck-and-neck with Manchester City in the Premier League and was a clear favorite to beat Bayern Munich in this quarterfinal.
A 2-2 draw with the Bavarians at home, followed by a 2-0 loss to Aston Villa in the Premier League, has changed the perception.
A once-promising season is now on the brink of turning into a lost opportunity.
The good news for punters is that sentiment has seemed to seep into the betting market.
As concerning as it was to see Arsenal struggle over the last week, their overall body of work remains elite this season.
The Gunners are the best defensive side in Europe and even if their attack looked dormant over the weekend, it should still have some success against a Bayern side that has struggled to find any sort of consistency in the Bundesliga.
Bayern remains a dangerous offensive outfit and Harry Kane is one of the world’s best strikers (and has typically killed Arsenal), but this is a strength vs. strength matchup where Arsenal’s best asset — its defensive poise — is on a whole other level compared to Bayern’s attacking prowess.
Going on the road in the Champions League is never easy — especially at the Allianz — but this isn’t your father’s Bayern Munich side.
They just had their 11-year reign as Bundesliga champions ended and now will be under a ton of pressure to get through to the Champions League semifinals.
And while the bookmakers make the Bavarians a slight favorite, I’ll go the other way here and buy low on Arsenal.
Rather than betting the Gunners to advance at +105, I’ll take a shot on the Gunners on the three-way moneyline (meaning they need to win the match in regulation) at +185.
The Bet: Arsenal moneyline +185 (DraftKings)