Kentucky Oaks 2024 guide: Odds, analysis and PPs

Kentucky Oaks 2024 guide: Odds, analysis and PPs

May 3, 2024

Friday marks the eve of Kentucky Derby 2024, but there’s no calm before the storm at Churchill Downs as an overflow field has assembled for the Grade 1, $1.5 million Kentucky Oaks.

Sixteen of the best three-year-old fillies in the country passed the Kentucky Oaks (G1) entry box, but only 14 will run. Tapit Jenallie will not be one of them, as she was announced as an early scratch.

Going as race no. 11 on a 13-race program under the twin spires, post time for the Oaks is 5:51 p.m. EDT. The race can be seen live on USA and Peacock.

Check out Horse Racing Nation’s free past performances page today for downloadable PPs for the Kentucky Oaks and more courtesy of our partners at Brisnet.

We also have Super Screener picks and analysis for the Kentucky Oaks as well as recent top speed figures for each contender.

Kentucky Oaks best speed figures

Post Horse ML Beyer TimeformUS HRN
1 Tapit Jenallie 30-1 81 105   97
2 Gin Gin 30-1 76 102   87
3 Where’s My Ring 15-1 90 111   99
4 Regulatory Risk 20-1 84 108   94
5 Thorpedo Anna   5-1 91 111   97
6 Lemon Muffin 30-1 84   99   89
7 Fiona’s Magic 30-1 80 104   90
8 Tarifa   7-2 95 109 101
9 Everland 30-1 77   93   95
10 Into Champagne 30-1 81 107   90
11 Ways and Means   5-1 90 112   93
12 Power Squeeze 12-1 92 111   93
13 Just F Y I   9-2 89 112   91
14 Leslie’s Rose   4-1 95 116   96
15 Our Pretty Woman 15-1 93 109   94
16 Candied 20-1 86 108   94

Looking at the pace

A three-pronged battle for the lead is expected in the Oaks, with Into Champagne tussling with Fiona’s Magic and Where’s My Ring through fast fractions. 

Pace projector appears courtesy of TimeformUS.

HRN picks for the Kentucky Oaks

The Kentucky Derby Super Screener is available now. Get the insight you need to crush both the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby and so much more this weekend.

Ed DeRosa’s Kentucky Oaks fair odds believe Ways and Means ran a winning race in the Gulfstream Park Oaks when last seen and can atone on the big stage. Where’s My Ring appears to be a live long shot as well.

DeRosa also took a close look at how the Oaks might shape up if the track comes up wet.

Brian Zipse’s Kentucky Oaks contenders are led by Thorpedo Anna. Check out what Zipse and Matt Shifman had to say in their final picks for the Kentucky Oaks and Kentucky Derby.

Shifman has more to offer in his Kentucky Oaks odds and analysis, while Padraic Manocchio sized up the field from top to bottom in his Kentucky Oaks order of finish predictions. Manocchio also provides his top three value plays for Oaks Day at Churchill Downs.

Laurie Ross and Ashley Tamulonis went head-to-head handicapping the Kentucky Oaks, and both of them think juvenile fillies champion Just F Y I merits respect in her second start off the bench.

Here’s the field for the Kentucky Oaks (G1):

Post Silks Horse / Sire Rating Trainer / Jockey Last Start / Next Start HRN
2 Horse Silk Gin Gin Gin Gin

Hightail

6.19

Brad H. Cox

Florent Geroux

3rd, 2024 Gazelle G3

30-1

Last Race

3rd, 2024 Gazelle G3

3 Horse Silk Where's My Ring Where’s My Ring

Twirling Candy

6.62

Val Brinkerhoff

Jose Lezcano

1st, 2024 Gazelle G3

15-1

Last Race

1st, 2024 Gazelle G3

4 Horse Silk Regulatory Risk Regulatory Risk

Omaha Beach

6.87

Chad C. Brown

Jose L. Ortiz

2nd, 2024 Gazelle G3

20-1

Last Race

2nd, 2024 Gazelle G3

5 Horse Silk Thorpedo Anna Thorpedo Anna

Fast Anna

7.04

Kenneth G. McPeek

Brian J. Hernandez, Jr.

1st, 2024 Fantasy G3

5-1

Last Race

1st, 2024 Fantasy G3

6 Horse Silk Lemon Muffin Lemon Muffin

Collected

6.15

D. Wayne Lukas

Keith Asmussen

7th, 2024 Fantasy G3

30-1

Last Race

7th, 2024 Fantasy G3

7 Horse Silk Fiona's Magic Fiona’s Magic

St. Patrick’s Day

6.27

Michael Yates

Luis Saez

8th, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2

30-1

Last Race

8th, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2

8 Horse Silk Tarifa Tarifa

Bernardini

7.28

Brad H. Cox

Flavien Prat

1st, 2024 Fair Grounds Oaks G2

7-2

Last Race

1st, 2024 Fair Grounds Oaks G2

9 Horse Silk Everland Everland

Arrogate

6.47

Eric N. Foster

Abel Cedillo

1st, 2024 Bourbonette Oaks LS

30-1

Last Race

1st, 2024 Bourbonette Oaks LS

10 Horse Silk Into Champagne Into Champagne

Into Mischief

6.19

Ian R. Wilkes

Julien R. Leparoux

3rd, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2

30-1

Last Race

3rd, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2

11 Horse Silk Ways and Means Ways and Means

Practical Joke

6.87

Chad C. Brown

Tyler Gaffalione

2nd, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2

5-1

Last Race

2nd, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2

12 Horse Silk Power Squeeze Power Squeeze

Union Rags

7.07

Jorge Delgado

Daniel E. Centeno

1st, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2

12-1

Last Race

1st, 2024 Gulfstream Park Oaks G2

13 Horse Silk Just F Y I Just F Y I

Justify

7.46

William I. Mott

Junior Alvarado

2nd, 2024 Ashland G1

9-2

Last Race

2nd, 2024 Ashland G1

14 Horse Silk Leslie's Rose Leslie’s Rose

Into Mischief

7.26

Todd A. Pletcher

Irad Ortiz, Jr.

1st, 2024 Ashland G1

4-1

Last Race

1st, 2024 Ashland G1

15 Horse Silk Our Pretty Woman Our Pretty Woman

Medaglia d’Oro

6.62

Steven M. Asmussen

Joel Rosario

2nd, 2024 Fair Grounds Oaks G2

15-1

Last Race

2nd, 2024 Fair Grounds Oaks G2

16 Horse Silk Candied Candied

Candy Ride

6.58

Todd A. Pletcher

Luis Saez

4th, 2024 Ashland G1

20-1

Last Race

4th, 2024 Ashland G1